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š Cash is NOT king
...the start of a new season on cashflow
This is CFO Secrets. The Saturday morning newsletter that gives CFO insights you wonāt find on a ācheat sheet.ā
5 Minute Read Time
In Todayās Email:
šø Kicking off the Cash Flow Season
šŖ® SBFās view on CFOs
š½ Community Adjusted Free Cash Flow
Weāre back baby, with a new 8 part series covering the nuts and bolts of cashflow.
But before we get into it, CFO Secrets has itās first sponsor.
And itās a big dog ā¦
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THE DEEP DIVE
Introduction to Cashflow: Cash vs Cashflow
This is the first week in an 8 week season covering cashflow.
148 Days.
Thatās how long we had.
Iād joined a business as CFO with a nine figure annual cash burn rate.
And I donāt mean a Silicon Valley type burn rate. The ācoolā type. Where anything goes as long as sales are growing fast enough to get the next round of funding away. (Remember those days??)
Iām talking about a once profitable, mature business.
Now burning cash because they were in a tough sector and badly run.
Costs were out of control. No care for controlling inventory. Theyād give 3 month payment terms to any customer that gave a hint of growth potential. No-one was watching supplier terms. And money got wasted on vanity capex and R&D projects.
There was no equity check coming to keep things running. There was only one path. We had to get this business to cashflow breakeven ASAP. We had to fix the bucket (more on that later).
I liked turnarounds, but wow. This was a biggun.
And bigger than expected. Iād done my diligence, but Iād under-estimated how broken the core business was.
How little I could rely on the business to make the right decisions.
And even if the decisions were right, the execution was dreadful. Rotten to the core.
Too deep to fix in even 2 or 3 years. The full journey would need 5 years.
But for cashflow we didnāt have the luxury of measuring in years. We had days.
148 to be precise.
Wellā¦ technically 147 days now.
Itās 3am, and for the third time this week Iāve woken in a panic about how Iād make payroll for thousands of people.
Itās the most visceral feeling Iāve experienced in business.
This business has no choice other than to put cash flow as priority 1, 2 & 3.
And it was me that had to lead the way.
What I would discover in the years that followed would form the best learning experiences of my corporate career.
The full story of that turnaround will have to wait for another time, but the truth is, there was no silver bullet. There never is.
It was thousands of small things.
Thousands of small things that together could turn the burning oil tanker. A little at first. But eventually it would need a full 180.
This new season of CFO Secrets is titled āBuilding a Cashflow Obsessed Business.ā
Most businesses make financial decisions through the lens of the Income Statement. P&L is just a leading indicator to cash flow. Cash flow is the end goal. You pay bills with $ in the bank, not numbers in spreadsheets.
And shifting the lens from P&L to cashflow is hard.
And there is no secret formula to making that shift.
Itās just basics, but executed brilliantly.
Unfortunately, thatās not very sexy. And neither is it difficult, but it is hard.
So in this season we will be focusing on how to build a culture of cashflow obsession in your business
As always, unless I say otherwise, my content will focus on large complex businesses. Multi national corporates.
That is especially important for this season.
Installing that culture is harder in a larger business. There are a huge number of levers, managed by a huge number of people. And complexity in business tends to operate as a power function. So, thatās huge2 for those keeping count.
Anyway ā¦ I want to start this new season, with a rant.
āBut Uncle Secret, we thought youād had a couple of weeks off. Arenāt you well rested?ā
Afraid not, folks.
Iāve got something I need to get off my chest.
And itās three little words:
Cash. Is. King.
Unless you live under a rock, you will have heard this used again and again in corporate life.
Itās up there with āletās circle backā, āboil the oceanā, and āblue sky thinkingā in top tier business buzzword bullsh*t bingo.
Unless it wasnāt clear enough already, I donāt like this phrase.
Itās a nice enough sentiment, and the alliteration is sure memorable.
But nine times out of ten its used as a lazy trope. By someone who doesnāt understand what it means.
Whenever I hear āCash is Kingā in my business now, I respond with this: āNo. You mean cash flow is king. And it isnāt just king, around here. Itās King, Queen, Rookā¦ itās the whole chessboard.ā
Distinguishing between Cash and Cashflow is important. They get managed in different ways.
Cash is the water level in the bucket
Cashflow is the speed at which the bucket fills or empties.
Two Buckets
A full bucket is no good to you if itās full of holes.
Likewise, an empty bucket isnāt a big problem, if you are confident in your ability to fill it.
This series will be entirely focused on getting better at filling your bucket.
It will not focus on what you do with the water in the bucket (treasury management and capital allocation).
These are important too, but they are different skills.
Cashflow is generated in the business operations. Itās decentralized.
Whereas capital allocation and treasury management is best performed centrally.
Starbucks generate $2bn to $3bn of free cashflow per year.
That cashflow gets delivered one $4 cup of coffee at a time, by 400,000 baristas all over the world. Thatās a lot of people to get rowing in the same direction to āfill the bucket.ā
Starbucks Cup
Starbucks also have between $3bn and $6bn of cash on their balance sheet. Who manages that? A small number of treasury pros sat in Seattle, using a capital allocation framework. Goalseeking to the optimal outcome.
Both difficult jobs, but very different. One decentralized, one centralized.
Treasury functions hold no levers for cashflow generation. Those levers sit in business operations. With the people that make and sell stuff.
Donāt worryā¦
We will come back to capital allocation and treasury management. But they are so important, and so different, they deserve seasons in their own right.
The core theme of this season will be how to build the reporting, forecasting and management systems to deliver cash flow. How you get those 400,000 baristas all doing the things that need to be done to drive cashflow.
Do the right things well enough, for long enough, and it will become a culture.
And once a cashflow culture is embedded into your business, it starts to feel a bit easier.
Hereās a run down of the curriculum we will cover over the next 7 weeks:
Week 1 - October 21st; Maintainable Free Cashflow
What is MFCF?
Above vs Below the line
How to use MFCF in the business
Categorization
Week 2 - October 28th; Reporting Cashflow
Reporting Cadence
Metrics
Using cashflow reporting to drive behavior
November 4th - Break
Week 3 - November 11th; Forecasting Part 1
Direct vs indirect cashflows
How to build a weekly rolling cashflow forecast
Actualization
Daily treasury management
Week 4 - November 18th; Forecasting Part 2
How to build an indirect cashflow forecast
Rolling monthly forecasts
Sensitivities and shit cases
Integrating treasury
Week 5 - November 25th; Working Capital Part 1
Why it matters.
What working capital is not
Influence on capital structure
Influence on growth
December 2nd - Break
Week 6 - December 9th; Working Capital Part 2
How to drive it
Working capital design - Cost of capital arbitrage
Component by component (receivables, inventory, payables)
Working capital platforms
Week 7 - December 16th; Building a cash culture
Getting the CEO on board
Making it the dominant business language
Artificial cash restriction
Cash flow turnarounds.
Cashflow has been unfashionable for the last 15 years.
Whilst interest rates were low, it was easy to get a cheap top up for your bucket when you needed it.
It was easier than the hard work of patching up the holes in the bucket.
But not any more ā¦ managing cashflow is fashionable again.
Money has a price again.
Itās about time.
Strap inā¦
This is going to be fun.
Next week we will dive into Maintainable Free Cash Flow š. My favorite metric. I CANNOT wait.
This quote from Sam Bankman-Fried made me laugh:
Every startup CFO reading Michael Lewis book on SBF is gonna ask for a raise
ā Trung Phan (@TrungTPhan)
7:39 PM ā¢ Oct 4, 2023
Well, Sam ā¦ I guess you found out
Elonās āXā invented a nonsense cashflow measure and then declared victory with it being positive. Meanwhile FinTwit joined hands and laughed hard:
community adjusted free cash flow.
ā The Secret CFO (@SecretCFO)
9:59 AM ā¢ Oct 6, 2023
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AND FINALLYā¦
Thatās all for this week. Itās good to be back
As always you can find me here:
Thank you to todayās sponsor; NetSuite.
Iāve got big plans for this newsletter, and a sponsor will help me improve the quality of the content, reach more people, all whilst keeping it free.
Plus, Mrs Secret CFO wants a new purse, and she sure as hell wonāt pay for it herself ā¦
Stay Crispy,
The Secret CFO
Disclaimer: I am not your accountant, tax advisor, lawyer, CFO, director or friend. Well, maybe Iām your friend, but I am not any of those other things. Everything I publish represents my opinions only, not advice. Running the finances for a company is serious business, and you should take the proper advice you need]
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